NBA predictions: Conference finals expert picks for Celtics vs. Pacers and Timberwolves vs. Mavericks (2024)

After two Game 7s on Sunday -- including one instant classic -- to conclude the second round, the conference finals are set in the 2024 NBA playoffs. In the East, it's the No. 1-seeded Boston Celtics vs. the sixth-seeded Pacers, who have crashed the party on something of a 2021 Hawks run. In the West, it's the No. 3 Timberwolves, who ensured we'll have a new champion for the sixth straight season by eliminating the Nuggets, against the No. 5 Mavericks.

Think about the young legacies starting to build here: By the end of June, one of Anthony Edwards (22 years old), Tyrese Haliburton (24 years old), Luka Doncic (25 years old) or Jayson Tatum (26 years old) will have their first championship. Every one of those guys would register as a younger first-time champion than the likes of LeBron James, Michael Jordan, Stephen Curry, Kevin Durant, Hakeem Olajuwon, Shaquille O'Neal, Nikola Jokic and Dirk Nowitzki, among others.

So, who's it going to be? Well, we have to decide the conference finals first. And with that in mind, our expert picks are below.

Eastern Conference finals: Celtics vs. Pacers

Botkin: Celtics in 4.I don't think Indiana gets a game here. Too many weapons for Boston. Indiana is on a 2021 Hawks run where the bracket has broken perfectly for a surprise conference finals run over two injury-ravaged teams in the Bucks and Knicks, but the dream ends here. And it ends quickly.

Herbert: Celtics in 5.These are two amazing offensive teams, and it'll go longer than this if the Celtics aren't as sharp as they should be. Boston's defense is worlds better than Indiana's, though, and Joe Mazzula is going to make sure his team understands that everything starts with decision-making: If the Celtics take care of the ball and space the floor properly, they should be able to limit the Pacers in transition, where they're most dangerous.

Maloney: Celtics in 6. The Pacers will win a few games in this series due to their incredible offense and the Celtics' penchant for losing focus. However, the Celtics are the more talented team, even without Kristaps Porzingis, and far superior on the defensive end, which will ultimately be the difference. The Celtics will be able to slow the Pacers down at some points, while it's hard to see how the Pacers ever do the same.

Quinn: Celtics in 5.Game 7 was evidence of just how dynamic the Pacers can be when the shots are falling. The rest of the Knicks series shows how vulnerable they can be when they aren't. Even without Kristaps Porzingis, Boston is far stronger than the depleted Knicks were. The Celtics offer no hiding spots for Indiana's weaker defenders, and Boston scored 126 points per 100 possessions against Indiana this season. The Pacers will win a game on shooting alone, but they are outmatched in the series at large.

Ward-Henninger: Celtics in 6.Defense is going to be a major issue for Indiana, but I do think that the Pacers' ability to put up high point totals will help them against a Celtics team prone to an offensive clunker here and there. That being said, talent will win out, particularly if Kristaps Porzingis is able to return for the end of the series. It's been a tremendous run for Indiana, but it ends here.

Wimbish: Celtics in 6.The Pacers have benefited from the injury bug hitting both of their opponents to this point, and right now Porzingis is out for Boston. But the Celtics have enough firepower to get through Indiana even if KP doesn't play a single game this series. But I'll give the Pacers two games because their offense can catch fire.


NBA predictions: Conference finals expert picks for Celtics vs. Pacers and Timberwolves vs. Mavericks (13)

Brad Botkin

NBA predictions: Conference finals expert picks for Celtics vs. Pacers and Timberwolves vs. Mavericks (14)

James Herbert

NBA predictions: Conference finals expert picks for Celtics vs. Pacers and Timberwolves vs. Mavericks (15)

Jack Maloney

NBA predictions: Conference finals expert picks for Celtics vs. Pacers and Timberwolves vs. Mavericks (16)

Sam Quinn

NBA predictions: Conference finals expert picks for Celtics vs. Pacers and Timberwolves vs. Mavericks (17)

Colin Ward-Henninger

NBA predictions: Conference finals expert picks for Celtics vs. Pacers and Timberwolves vs. Mavericks (18)

Jasmyn Wimbish

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

Timberwolves

Timberwolves

Timberwolves

Timberwolves

Timberwolves

Mavericks

Botkin: Timberwolves in 7.This feels like another coin flip, and in a series that close, I'll go with the awesome defense to prevail. Everything starts for Dallas with the creation of Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving, and the Wolves have waves of defenders to throw at those guys and waves of big bodies behind them. OKC had a lot of perimeter defense as well and had success limiting especially Irving as a scorer, but it opened up shooters and P.J. Washington burned them. One, I don't see Washington shooting like that again, and two, MInnesota is even better getting over screens and smothering ball handlers and might not have to help off shooters as much with such hard doubles.

Herbert: Timberwolves in 5. On one hand, the Mavericks weren't all that great on offense against OKC, and now they're going up against an even longer team that they can't bully. On the other hand, the Timberwolves weren't all that great on offense against Denver, and now they're going up against a team that just made the third-best offense in the league look disjointed. This is not an easy call, but I'm picking Minnesota because I'm more confident in its role players.

Maloney: Timberwolves in 6. Even with Luka Doncic looking hobbled at times and shooting the ball poorly, the Mavericks were able to sneak past the Thunder thanks to incredible shooting performances by P.J. Washington and Derrick Jones Jr. and their ability to bully the young Thunder. The latter certainly won't be happening against one of the best frontcourts in the league, and it's hard to expect the former will again. Anthony Edwards and the Wolves are the team of the moment, and if they could get past the Nuggets they can get past the Mavericks.

Quinn: Timberwolves in 7.This one's going to be a nail-biter. Oklahoma City threw doubles at Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving to try to force their teammates to beat them. Minnesota will probably try to defend them straight up at least earlier on, and they have defenders who can make them work. Dallas owned the paint last round. Minnesota is much, much bigger than Oklahoma City was. Derrick Jones Jr. will bother Anthony Edwards. Can Mike Conley take on added creation duties as he plays through an injury? In the end, I'm defaulting to home-court advantage. This one could go either way.

Ward-Henninger: Timberwolves in 7.It's hard to have watched how the Wolves were able to suffocate the defending champs and think that the Mavs, who have struggled offensively for much of the postseason, will be able to thrive. That being said, Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving are the type of singular talents who can continually burn even the greatest defenses. Part of the reason I picked against Minnesota in the last two rounds was because I didn't trust their clutch offense, and I'm still not sure I do, but I've been converted to the Church of Anthony Edwards, so I won't be picking against him again.

Wimbish: Mavericks in 7.The Wolves present a difficult matchup for Dallas, and they're gonna have a tough time getting points at the rim with Gobert and KAT looming. Say goodbye to all those lobs to Derrick Jones Jr., Daniel Gafford and Dereck Lively II. But I'm betting on their defense to cause problems as well, and I'm going with the duo of Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving to be the more consistent stars.

NBA predictions: Conference finals expert picks for Celtics vs. Pacers and Timberwolves vs. Mavericks (2024)

FAQs

Who is the favorite to win the NBA Finals 2024? ›

The Celtics have the best postseason point differential at plus-10.3 this year, while Dallas is fifth at plus-2.3. The Mavs are 2.5-point favorites in the latest Celtics vs. Mavericks odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is set at 213.5.

What are the odds of the Celtics winning the championship? ›

Latest Odds to Win NBA Championship

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook. Based on these odds, the Celtics have an implied probability of 88.89 percent to win the title this season. Dallas -- at +550 -- has just a 15.38 percent chance based on implied probability.

Who will be NBA Finals MvP 2024? ›

The NBA Finals are underway — and nearly over — which means that bettors are fully invested in the Finals MVP market. And there's officially a new favorite atop the oddsboard: Boston's Jaylen Brown.

Who is predicted to win the NBA playoffs? ›

Looking ahead to the NBA Finals in 2024, the Celtics are currently favored to win it all, at -225.

Who is the NBA Finals favorite? ›

The Mavs are 2.5-point favorites in the latest Celtics vs. Mavericks odds via SportsLine consensus. The over/under for total points is 214.5.

Who is the all time leading scorer in the NBA Finals? ›

No player in NBA history was as prolific a scorer on the NBA Finals stage as the late Jerry West, who passed away at the age of 86. West's career mark of 1,679 points scored in the NBA Finals remains the most by any player.

Why are Mavs favored in Game 3? ›

Why Mavericks will win Game 3. Getting back home for a Finals game is just what the Mavericks need to restore their offense, and if the offense is there (talking Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving) and as long as they defend the Celtics like they did in Game 2, the Mavs will make this a tighter series.

Have the Mavs won a championship? ›

Dallas Mavericks, American professional basketball team based in Dallas that plays in the National Basketball Association (NBA). The Mavericks have won one NBA championship (2011).

Has anyone on the Celtics won a championship? ›

Led by Hall of Fame players like Bill Russell, John Havlicek, Larry Bird and Paul Pierce, the Celtics are tied for the most championships in league history with 17. But that deadlock with the rival Los Angeles Lakers could soon be broken.

Who is going to win the finals of the MVP? ›

Jaylen Brown, Celtics

Brown should be the Finals MVP favorite. He has had three terrific games, with Nos. 1 and 3 being his standout showings. He's Boston's leading scorer at 24.3 points per game. Brown went for 30 points, eight rebounds and eight assists in Game 3.

Who's favored to win the NBA championship in 2024? ›

The Boston Celtics are the current favorites to be the 2024 NBA Champions with -7000 odds as we continue the NBA Finals. Their opponent, the Dallas Mavericks have +2000 odds to be crowned NBA Champions.

Which team is likely to win NBA championship? ›

While I anticipate the Mavericks will no doubt give Boston its hardest challenge of the postseason, it won't be enough as the Celtics take the crown, surpassing the Lakers with a 18th Larry O'Brien trophy, winning the NBA Finals in six games.

Who's favored to win NBA MVP? ›

NBA MVP odds tracker: Nikola Jokić leads odds heading into final games of the season. As the NBA enters the last two weeks and with less than 10 games of the regular season left, the fight for the NBA MVP race continues. Nikola Jokić is the current frontrunner for the award and has been for most of the season.

Who is favored to win NBA Finals game 3? ›

Mavericks ATS pick for Game 3. The Mavericks trail this series 0-2 and enter tonight's Game 3 as slight (-2.5) favorites on the point spread, with a moneyline number sitting at (-140). For the visiting Celtics (+2.5 point spread), their moneyline number is just past a coin flip at +120.

Who usually wins NBA? ›

The Los Angeles Lakers and the Boston Celtics are tied for the most NBA championships, each with 17 titles. Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors have seven championships, with notable victories in recent years such as 2015, 2017, 2018, and 2022.

Who wins the game 3 NBA finals? ›

The worst kind of foul trouble, which proved to be the turning point in the Celtics' 106-99 victory at American Airlines Center that put them up 3-0, one win away from the franchise's 18th NBA championship.

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